Week 4 NFL Picks

            Week 3 was No Credentials first sub-.500 week, and it was a disaster with my top-5 picks. Here’s to hoping for a rebound.

Lions (+2.5) over COWBOYS

            I’d take Dallas, but Romo having to chase down errant snaps while simultaneously running from Ndamukong Suh isn’t a good combination.

Detroit 27, Dallas 14

Confidence Score = 10

Saints (-7.5) over JAGUARS

            Somehow New Orleans comeback against Houston last week slipped through the cracks of the weekend review. The Saints have been quietly taking care of business since their opening night defeat.

New Orleans 30, Jacksonville 10

Confidence Score = 16

EAGLES (-9) over 49ers

            Philadelphia is living proof that you win football games by dominating the trenches. Look for a mediocre 49ers squad to make them look good for a week.

Philadelphia 31, San Francisco 20

Confidence Score = 7

RAMS (+2.5) over Redskins

            How Washington couldn’t beat a team that snapped the ball when the quarterback wasn’t ready, or figure out where wide receivers needed to go on hot routes, I’ll never know. It must be because Rex Grossman is the equivalent of Tony Romo on steroids.

St. Louis 16, Washington 10

Confidence Score = 4

Titans (Even) over BROWNS
            Kenny Britt is a devastating loss for Tennessee (and one of my fantasy teams), but look for Chris Johnson to get his mojo back against the sorry Browns.

Tennessee 20, Cleveland 10

Confidence Score = 9

BENGALS (+3) over Bills

            Upset special of the week. Classic let down game after an epic win.

Cincinnati 24, Buffalo 21

Confidence Score = 8

CHIEFS (+3) over Vikings

            The stay away game of the week brought to you by ADT Security Systems. If you wager actual money on this game, you have a sickness.

Kansas City 21, Minnesota 20

Confidence Score = 1

BEARS (-6.5) over Panthers

            This is a tricky one. I expect Carolina to keep it close throughout, but this one has “late Brian Urlacher interception to set up spread covering score” written all over it.

Chicago 17, Carolina 10

Confidence Score = 2

Steelers (+3.5) over TEXANS

            If Pittsburgh has any backbone (and playoff aspirations) at all, they bounce back in a big way after their pathetic win in Indianapolis last week.

Pittsburgh 30, Houston 27

Confidence Score = 5

Falcons (-4.5) over SEAHAWKS

            Seattle is a tough home team and all, but even with Atlanta’s shoddy play so far, I can’t take Tavaris Jackson against them.

Atlanta 24, Seattle 10

Confidence Score = 14

Giants (-1.5) over CARDINALS

            There will be an equal amount of Giants fans as there will be Cardinals fans at this game in Glendale. That will be enough for New York to eke out an ugly win.

New York 20, Arizona 17

Confidence Score = 3

CHARGERS (-7) over Dolphins

            It’s October, so look for San Diego to begin looking like a Super Bowl favorite.

San Diego 27, Miami 7

Confidence Score = 15

PACKERS (-12.5) over Broncos

            Green Bay still hasn’t laid a hammer of god beat down yet. Denver is a good team to get that accomplishment done.

Green Bay 37, Denver 13

Confidence Score = 13

Patriots (-5.5) over RAIDERS

            I don’t think Oakland is good enough at passing to take advantage of the Patriots biggest defensive weakness. It’s a funny point spread to pick, but I like New England by a touchdown.

New England 31, Oakland 24

Confidence Score = 6

RAVENS (-3.5) over Jets

            I hope all of you like reading panic stories about the New York Jets, because that’s what we are going to read after Mark Sanchez looks terrible against the Ravens.

Baltimore 10, New York 3

Confidence Score = 12

BUCCANEERS (-10) over Colts

            The Colts defense was very impressive against Pittsburgh last week. Don’t expect an effort like that on the road against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay 23, Indianapolis 6

Confidence Score = 11

Last Week Record = 7-9

LW Top-5 Picks = 1-4 (ouch!)
Season Record = 24-20-4
S Top-5 Picks = 7-6