Week 9 NFL Picks

            Coming off our worst week of the season last week (thanks Saints, Giants, Ravens, and Chargers for choking against inferior teams), No Credentials is looking to bounce back in a big way.

Week 9 Byes = Lions, Vikings, Panthers, Jaguars

 

Falcons (-7) over COLTS

            By my calculations, Indianapolis has only beaten the spread once all season (against Pittsburgh).

Atlanta 31, Indianapolis 14

Confidence Score = 16
 

SAINTS (-8.5) over Buccaneers

            I’m expecting a strong showing by the Saints after their listless performance in St. Louis.

New Orleans 34, Tampa Bay 21

Confidence Score = 11
 

TEXANS (-10.5) over Browns

            I hate laying this many points on the Texans, but it’s never good to bet on a team dealing with controversy. The play of Houston’s defense the last two weeks makes this pick a little easier to stomach.

Houston 21, Cleveland 7

Confidence Score = 12
 

BILLS (-2) over Jets

            If Buffalo follows the game plan Oakland used against New York earlier this season, they will pull out this game.

Buffalo 19, New York 14

Confidence Score = 8
 

Dolphins (+4) over CHIEFS

            Miami has been doing a solid job of making it look like they are trying while intentionally going 0-16 to get Andrew Luck. Look for that to continue Sunday in Kansas City.

Kansas City 28, Miami 27

Confidence Score = 4

49ers (-3.5) over REDSKINS

            This game should be a little higher in my confidence list, but San Francisco is due for a clunker on the road at some point.

San Francisco 17, Washington 10

Confidence Score = 10
 

COWBOYS (-11.5) over Seahawks

            Dallas blew out St. Louis (the only non-playoff contender the Cowboys have played all year) two weeks ago. There’s a strong possibility that Dallas is “the good bad team”.

Dallas 31, Seattle 13

Confidence Score = 13

Broncos (+7.5) over RAIDERS

            If you have any desire to wager greenbacks on either Tim Tebow or Carson Palmer, consider yourself something that rhymes with “lucked kin ka read”.

Oakland 10, Denver 6

Confidence Score = 3
 

Bengals (+3) over TITANS

            The red head quarterback is starting to win me over. If Cincy covers this week, I’ll actually refer to him as Andy Dalton in next week’s picks. I promise.

Cincinnati 24, Tennessee 23

Confidence Score = 7
 

CARDINALS (-3) over Rams

            The totally unwatchable game of the week, sponsored by “The Green Lantern”.

 Arizona 12, St. Louis 6

Confidence Score = 5
 

Giants (+9) over PATRIOTS

            New York’s wide receivers will give New England all sorts of problems. I’m not predicting a Giants win, but am expecting a high scoring affair.

New England 31, New York 28

Confidence Score = 9
 

CHARGERS (+6) over Packers

            When San Diego loses, they typically only lose by a little. They’ll hang with Green Bay before running an awful two-minute drill and losing by 3.

Green Bay 27, San Diego 24

Confidence Score = 6
 

STEELERS (-3.5) over Ravens

            Throw in momentum with a dash of vengeance, and you’ll get a fired up Steelers team on Sunday night. If I’m Joe Flacco, I’m not sleeping well Saturday night.

Pittsburgh 20, Baltimore 10

Confidence Score = 14
 

EAGLES (-7.5) over Bears

            Don’t expect Chicago’s defense to continually fall for counter plays like Dallas did last week, but do expect Jay Cutler to end up on his back. Repeatedly.

Philadelphia 24, Chicago 10

Confidence Score = 15
 

Last Week Record = 4-9 (yikes!)

LW Top-5 Picks = 1-4 (double yikes!)
Season Record = 59-50-7
S Top-5 Picks = 20-18-2