Saturday, October 3, 2015

2015 Week 4 NFL Picks


Dolphins (+2) over Jets 

            Both of these teams were junk in Week 3, so we’ll take the points.


COLTS (-9.5) over Jaguars
            If Andrew Luck doesn’t play, the line is going to be Colts (-4.5). We’ll take them regardless.

FALCONS (-6.5) over Texans
            So far Atlanta has played the offensively challenged Eagles, the clock management indifferent Giants, and the Romo-less Cowboys. You can add a team quarterbacked by Ryan Mallet to that list.

BUCCANEERS (+3.5) over Panthers
            Like their fellow NFC South members in Atlanta, the Panthers haven’t defeated any playoff caliber teams, and needed a late interception to prevent a team quarterbacked by Josh McCown from beating them last week. Tampa is competent enough to at least cover.

BILLS (-5) over Giants
            Karlos Williams fully unleashed!

Raiders (-3.5) over BEARS
            It feels wrong to pick the Raiders to cover on the road for a 1pm start two weeks in a row to push their record to 3-1, but I suppose stranger things have happened. Also, the Bears suck.

Eagles (-3) over WASHINGTON
            I don’t believe in the Eagles yet, but like clockwork Kirk Cousins turned into a pumpkin just before the calendar turned to October.

BENGALS (-4.5) over Chiefs
            I could totally see Cincinnati having a let down after their dramatic win in Baltimore last week, but I don’t possess the testicular fortitude to pick it.

            Actually, nevermind.

Chiefs (+4.5) over BENGALS

            Cincy wins this one by 3.

CHARGERS (-7.5) over Browns
            I’m not sure San Diego is good enough to be favored by 7.5 points over anyone, but Cleveland certainly isn’t good enough to be picked in a West Coast game.

Packers (-9.5) over 49ERS
            Aaron Rodgers has had a grudge against the 49ers ever since they chose Alex Smith over him in the 2005 NFL Draft, and for the first time he gets to pick on them while they are weak and feeble. Also, he just destroyed Alex Smith last Monday, which is weird.   

Vikings (+7) over BRONCOS
            It’s strange to say we like the under in a game featuring Peyton Manning and Adrian Peterson, but it’s important to not live in the past. Minnesota’s defense is good enough to capitalize on Peyton’s noodle arm, and Denver’s defense is stout enough to keep Peterson in check.

CARDINALS (-7) over Rams
            Of all the results from Week 3, St. Louis not managing to comeback against a team quarterbacked by Michael Vick topped the list of most disappointing.

Cowboys (+3.5) over SAINTS
            Dallas crumbled like a sugar cookie in the second half against the Falcons, and we’re hopeful they learned from their mistakes and will stick to the running game Sunday night.

SEAHAWKS (-10) over Lions
            With or without Beast Mode, the Seahawks will roll.

 

Week 3 = 7-9

Thursday = 0-0-1 (thanks for terrible fourth down decisions Mike Tomlin)
Season = 24-24-2

Spread Picks By Team


            Here are our updated results picking for each team. Here are some weird trends so far.

-         All five of the teams we have correctly picked every game this season are from the NFC.
-         Three of them are from the NFC North. We are 11-1 picking teams in this division.
-         Of our 0-3 clubs, three of them hail from the miserable NFC South.
-         11 out of the 17 teams that we are .500 or better are NFC squads. The Patriots are the only AFC team we haven’t lost a pick with (they pushed in Week 1 against Pittsburgh).

Washington = 3-0
Packers = 3-0
Vikings = 3-0
Lions = 3-0
Seahawks = 3-0
Patriots = 2-0-1
Browns = 2-1
Eagles = 2-1
Giants = 2-1
Bears = 2-1
Falcons = 2-1
Rams = 2-1
49ers = 2-1
Titans = 2-1
Chiefs = 2-1
Chargers = 2-1
Steelers = 1-1-2
Bills = 1-2
Dolphins = 1-2
Colts = 1-2
Jaguars = 1-2
Broncos = 1-2
Cowboys = 1-2
Jets = 1-2
Texans = 1-2
Ravens = 0-3-1
Bengals = 0-3
Raiders = 0-3
Saints = 0-3
Buccaneers = 0-3
Panthers = 0-3
Cardinals = 0-3

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