Saturday, September 26, 2015

2015 Week 3 NFL Picks


RAMS (+1) over Steelers

            This game will be decided by three points or less. I guess we’ll take the point.

VIKINGS (-2.5) over Chargers

            Adrian Peterson looked pretty good last week. We expect him to go Supernova against San Diego.

Buccaneers (+6.5) over TEXANS
            I can’t wrap my head around the fact that a team quarterbacked by Ryan Mallett is favored to win by a touchdown.

JETS (-2) over Eagles
            The Jets are going to blitz the living hell out of Sam Bradford.

PANTHERS (-8) over Saints
            New Orleans is a car fire. Carolina might only score ten points and still cover the spread.

PATRIOTS (-14) over Jaguars
            I let myself down by not backing the Jaguars for one more game last week (they should’ve covered in Week 1 if not for an awful pick-6 by Blake Bortles). There’s back-door cover potential here, but we’re still picking the Patriots.

RAVENS (-2.5) over Bengals
            It’s disheartening for No Credentials that our pick to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this year is playing a must-win game in Week 3.

BROWNS (-3.5) over Raiders
            Last week’s Steelers-49ers game was further proof of the peril west coast teams face when they play 1 p.m. east coast games. That’s why this line is at least a point higher than you think it should be, and why the Browns will still cover.

Colts (-3.5) over TITANS
            We’re guessing an AFC South opponent is just what the Colts need to right the ship.

COWBOYS (+1.5) over Falcons
            Atlanta’s lack of a pass rush combined with the Cowboys’ elite offensive line means Brandon Weeden should have ample time to “beautifully” throw the football (Jerry Jones’ words, not mine).

49ers (+6.5) over CARDINALS
            We may have under estimated Arizona (can someone ask Carson Palmer to pee in a cup already?), but Niners-Cardinals games historically have been close affairs.

SEAHAWKS (-14.5) over Bears
            The line would have to be over three touchdowns for me to even consider taking Chicago.

DOLPHINS (-2.5) over Bills
            Buffalo shouldn’t be favored by half a point over the Dolphins on a neutral field. I’ll gladly accept the half-point discount here. 

Broncos (-3.5) over LIONS
            We have no idea what to make of Peyton Manning, but that shouldn’t matter Sunday night against a Lions team that looks ready to implode.

PACKERS (-7) over Chiefs
            It’s been ten days, and I feel like that has allowed the general public to forget how demoralizing Kansas City’s loss at home to Denver was. Now tasked with playing at Lambeau Field, we don’t like their chances Monday night.

 

Week 2 = 8-8

Thursday = 1-0 (second straight bullshit cover on Thursday Night Football)
Season = 17-15-1

Spread Picks By Team


            In our new weekly installment, I’ll update my record of picking games for each team. For example, I picked the Saints to cover against the Buccaneers. They didn’t, so I lost. Conversely, I picked the Cowboys to cover on the road at Philly. That did happen, so my pick is a win. You get the idea.

Redskins = 3-0
Browns = 2-0
Eagles = 2-0
Packers = 2-0
Vikings = 2-0
Lions = 2-0
Falcons = 2-0
Seahawks = 2-0
Rams = 2-0
49ers = 2-0
Patriots = 1-0-1
Steelers = 1-0-1
Giants = 2-1
Bills = 1-1
Titans = 1-1
Cowboys = 1-1
Dolphins = 1-1
Jets = 1-1
Texans = 1-1
Chiefs = 1-1
Chargers = 1-1
Bears = 1-1
Ravens = 0-2
Bengals = 0-2
Colts = 0-2
Jaguars = 0-2
Raiders = 0-2
Saints = 0-2
Buccaneers = 0-2
Panthers = 0-2
Cardinals = 0-2
Broncos = 0-2

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