Saturday, January 18, 2014

NFL Conference Championship Picks

#2 New England Patriots @ #1 Denver Broncos
            Moving past the Brady-Manning rivalry, this doesn’t look like a great match-up for New England on paper. Their battered defense doesn’t have enough talent to match-up with all of Denver’s weapons (remember Broncos tight end Julius Thomas was out the first time these two clubs met). Offensively, Brady doesn’t have enough receivers to take advantage of Denver’s battered secondary (remember Rob Gronkowski was active in their first meeting, and he shredded the Denver defense). Barring out of body experiences by Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola, the Patriots won’t put up enough points to win this game.

BRONCOS (-5) over Patriots

 

#5 San Francisco 49ers @ #1 Seattle Seahawks
            San Francisco’s troubles in Seattle over the past two years are well documented, but we’re basing our pick on the play of the two team’s over the past month. Russell Wilson has been somewhere between “mediocre” to “awful” in Seattle’s last five games, including his first home loss of his career against Arizona in Week 16. San Francisco has won 6 straight (including the playoffs), and if not for a blown personal foul call against the Saints, would be hosting this game. Throw in impressive road victories in Green Bay and Carolina, and the 49ers feel like the modern playoff team that has peaked at the right time. Even if they don’t win outright, I don’t forecast Seattle winning by more than a field goal.
 
49ers (+3.5) over SEAHAWKS


Postseason = 3-3-2

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