Showing posts with label Seattle Seahawks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Seattle Seahawks. Show all posts

Sunday, January 10, 2016

2016 NFL Wildcard Sunday Picks


            Before we get to our Sunday picks, some thoughts on the incredibly bizarre finish between the Steelers and Bengals.


-         Man that was fucked.
-         Never do I recall a team committing 30 yards worth of personal foul penalties to give an opponent a chip shot field goal to win a game.
-         Anyone remember the old introductions to Madden in the late-90s that would show highlight reels of monster brain scrambling hits? Vontaze Burfict’s near-decapitation of Antonio Brown would’ve made the cut.
-         Cincinnati managed to surrender a game-winning drive to a quarterback who may or may not have a broken arm or something.
-         The ending was so ridiculous that I almost forgot about Martavius Bryant’s touchdown catch, which was insane.
-         We’re not they type for a knee-jerk reaction, but if I’m running the Bengals, I would seriously question whether or not Marvin Lewis should return for next season. A complete lack of discipline was ultimately what did the Bengals in (some would argue that it was Jeremy Hill’s fumble, but the Steelers still had to march half a football field to have a decent field goal attempt at the time of the recovery). Coaches instill discipline. Lewis had no control over his team, and it cost him his first playoff victory as a Head Coach.

Thankfully, the Bengals weren’t inept enough to not cover the +3 point spread, so we went undefeated with our Saturday picks. Here’s a look at the Sunday slate.

 

Seahawks (-5) over VIKINGS

            It was a nice story for the Vikings to capture their first division title in six years, but the run ends against a vastly superior Seahawks squad. In brutal weather, the Vikings will be lucky to rack up 150 total yards of offense.

Packers (+1) over WASHINGTON

            Green Bay has it’s flaws, but their strengths are perfectly suited to take advantage of Washington’s flaws. Aaron Rodgers will be able to pick apart a weak secondary that even the likes of Davante Adams can actually get open against, and Kirk Cousins will struggle against the seventh best pass defense in THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE.

Friday, October 30, 2015

2015 Week 8 NFL Picks

Chiefs (-3.5) over Lions
Vikings (-1) over BEARS
FALCONS (-7.5) over Buccaneers
Giants (+3.5) over SAINTS
RAMS (-9) over 49ers
Cardinals (-6) over BROWNS
STEELERS (+1) over Bengals
RAVENS (-3.5) over Chargers
TEXANS (-4) over Titans
RAIDERS (+3) over Jets
Seahawks (-6) over COWBOYS
BRONCOS (+3) over Packers
PANTHERS (-7) over Colts

Sunday, October 18, 2015

2015 Week 6 NFL Picks


BROWNS (+4.5) over Broncos

            Cleveland’s defense is good enough to keep this a low scoring affair.

Bengals (-3) over BILLS

            In E.J. Manuel we do not trust.

VIKINGS (-4) over Chiefs

            This is a pivotal game if Minnesota intends to secure a wildcard spot in the NFC.

JAGUARS (-2) over Texans

            No J.J. Watt spells trouble against the surprisingly spunky Jaguars passing attack.

LIONS (-3.5) over Bears

            It’s hard to back Detroit after their stink bomb they laid last Sunday, but one needs to remember that was only six days after they should’ve had first and goal on the one-yard line at Seattle.

Washington (+7) over JETS

            This pick is based solely on our belief that the NFC is the superior conference.

Cardinals (-4.5) over STEELERS

            The funkiest game on the Week 6 slate.

Dolphins (+2) over TITANS

            We like the upgrade from Joe Philbin to literally any other human being on planet Earth.

Panthers (+7) over SEAHAWKS

            Both clubs may have trouble combining to score seven points.

PACKERS (-10.5) over Chargers

            Scoring won’t be an issue here, but we like Green Bay in a rout after San Diego gave a win away against a washed up Michael Vick.

Ravens (-2) over 49ERS

            I honestly have no idea how to pick this game. Normally we say take the points, but our picks have been so awful the past couple of weeks we’re veering the other way.

Patriots (-10) over COLTS

            REVENGE!

EAGLES (-4.5) over Giants

            Another case of us veering against our default choice of taking the points.

 

Week 5 = 7-6-1

Thursday =0-1
Season = 36-39-3

Spread Picks By Team


Packers = 5-0
Vikings = 4-0
Patriots = 3-0-1
Lions = 4-1
Titans = 3-1
Seahawks = 3-1-1
Washington = 3-2
Rams = 3-2
49ers = 3-2
Chiefs = 3-2
Colts = 3-2
Jaguars = 3-2
Broncos = 3-2
Falcons = 3-3
Texans = 2-2
Browns = 2-3
Eagles = 2-3
Giants = 2-3
Bears = 2-3
Chargers = 2-3
Bills = 2-3
Cowboys = 2-3
Steelers = 1-2-2
Bengals = 1-3-1
Dolphins = 1-3
Jets = 1-3
Raiders = 1-4
Buccaneers = 1-4
Cardinals = 1-4
Ravens = 0-4-1
Panthers = 0-4
Saints = 0-6

Sunday, October 11, 2015

2015 Week 5 NFL Picks


            Didn’t have time to type up a full write-up, so here are some quick picks. We’ll be back next week with a more detailed explanation of our mediocre predictions.

BUCCANEERS (-2) over Jaguars
Bills (-1) over TITANS
RAVENS (-6.5) over Browns
FALCONS (-7) over Washington
CHIEFS (-9) over Bears
Saints (+6) over EAGLES
Rams (+9) over PACKERS
Seahawks (+3) over BENGALS
Cardinals (-3.5) over LIONS
Patriots (-9.5) over COWBOYS
Broncos (-4.5) over RAIDERS
GIANTS (-7) over 49ers
CHARGERS (-3.5) over Steelers

Saturday, October 3, 2015

2015 Week 4 NFL Picks


Dolphins (+2) over Jets 

            Both of these teams were junk in Week 3, so we’ll take the points.


COLTS (-9.5) over Jaguars
            If Andrew Luck doesn’t play, the line is going to be Colts (-4.5). We’ll take them regardless.

FALCONS (-6.5) over Texans
            So far Atlanta has played the offensively challenged Eagles, the clock management indifferent Giants, and the Romo-less Cowboys. You can add a team quarterbacked by Ryan Mallet to that list.

BUCCANEERS (+3.5) over Panthers
            Like their fellow NFC South members in Atlanta, the Panthers haven’t defeated any playoff caliber teams, and needed a late interception to prevent a team quarterbacked by Josh McCown from beating them last week. Tampa is competent enough to at least cover.

BILLS (-5) over Giants
            Karlos Williams fully unleashed!

Raiders (-3.5) over BEARS
            It feels wrong to pick the Raiders to cover on the road for a 1pm start two weeks in a row to push their record to 3-1, but I suppose stranger things have happened. Also, the Bears suck.

Eagles (-3) over WASHINGTON
            I don’t believe in the Eagles yet, but like clockwork Kirk Cousins turned into a pumpkin just before the calendar turned to October.

BENGALS (-4.5) over Chiefs
            I could totally see Cincinnati having a let down after their dramatic win in Baltimore last week, but I don’t possess the testicular fortitude to pick it.

            Actually, nevermind.

Chiefs (+4.5) over BENGALS

            Cincy wins this one by 3.

CHARGERS (-7.5) over Browns
            I’m not sure San Diego is good enough to be favored by 7.5 points over anyone, but Cleveland certainly isn’t good enough to be picked in a West Coast game.

Packers (-9.5) over 49ERS
            Aaron Rodgers has had a grudge against the 49ers ever since they chose Alex Smith over him in the 2005 NFL Draft, and for the first time he gets to pick on them while they are weak and feeble. Also, he just destroyed Alex Smith last Monday, which is weird.   

Vikings (+7) over BRONCOS
            It’s strange to say we like the under in a game featuring Peyton Manning and Adrian Peterson, but it’s important to not live in the past. Minnesota’s defense is good enough to capitalize on Peyton’s noodle arm, and Denver’s defense is stout enough to keep Peterson in check.

CARDINALS (-7) over Rams
            Of all the results from Week 3, St. Louis not managing to comeback against a team quarterbacked by Michael Vick topped the list of most disappointing.

Cowboys (+3.5) over SAINTS
            Dallas crumbled like a sugar cookie in the second half against the Falcons, and we’re hopeful they learned from their mistakes and will stick to the running game Sunday night.

SEAHAWKS (-10) over Lions
            With or without Beast Mode, the Seahawks will roll.

 

Week 3 = 7-9

Thursday = 0-0-1 (thanks for terrible fourth down decisions Mike Tomlin)
Season = 24-24-2

Spread Picks By Team


            Here are our updated results picking for each team. Here are some weird trends so far.

-         All five of the teams we have correctly picked every game this season are from the NFC.
-         Three of them are from the NFC North. We are 11-1 picking teams in this division.
-         Of our 0-3 clubs, three of them hail from the miserable NFC South.
-         11 out of the 17 teams that we are .500 or better are NFC squads. The Patriots are the only AFC team we haven’t lost a pick with (they pushed in Week 1 against Pittsburgh).

Washington = 3-0
Packers = 3-0
Vikings = 3-0
Lions = 3-0
Seahawks = 3-0
Patriots = 2-0-1
Browns = 2-1
Eagles = 2-1
Giants = 2-1
Bears = 2-1
Falcons = 2-1
Rams = 2-1
49ers = 2-1
Titans = 2-1
Chiefs = 2-1
Chargers = 2-1
Steelers = 1-1-2
Bills = 1-2
Dolphins = 1-2
Colts = 1-2
Jaguars = 1-2
Broncos = 1-2
Cowboys = 1-2
Jets = 1-2
Texans = 1-2
Ravens = 0-3-1
Bengals = 0-3
Raiders = 0-3
Saints = 0-3
Buccaneers = 0-3
Panthers = 0-3
Cardinals = 0-3

Saturday, September 26, 2015

2015 Week 3 NFL Picks


RAMS (+1) over Steelers

            This game will be decided by three points or less. I guess we’ll take the point.

VIKINGS (-2.5) over Chargers

            Adrian Peterson looked pretty good last week. We expect him to go Supernova against San Diego.

Buccaneers (+6.5) over TEXANS
            I can’t wrap my head around the fact that a team quarterbacked by Ryan Mallett is favored to win by a touchdown.

JETS (-2) over Eagles
            The Jets are going to blitz the living hell out of Sam Bradford.

PANTHERS (-8) over Saints
            New Orleans is a car fire. Carolina might only score ten points and still cover the spread.

PATRIOTS (-14) over Jaguars
            I let myself down by not backing the Jaguars for one more game last week (they should’ve covered in Week 1 if not for an awful pick-6 by Blake Bortles). There’s back-door cover potential here, but we’re still picking the Patriots.

RAVENS (-2.5) over Bengals
            It’s disheartening for No Credentials that our pick to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this year is playing a must-win game in Week 3.

BROWNS (-3.5) over Raiders
            Last week’s Steelers-49ers game was further proof of the peril west coast teams face when they play 1 p.m. east coast games. That’s why this line is at least a point higher than you think it should be, and why the Browns will still cover.

Colts (-3.5) over TITANS
            We’re guessing an AFC South opponent is just what the Colts need to right the ship.

COWBOYS (+1.5) over Falcons
            Atlanta’s lack of a pass rush combined with the Cowboys’ elite offensive line means Brandon Weeden should have ample time to “beautifully” throw the football (Jerry Jones’ words, not mine).

49ers (+6.5) over CARDINALS
            We may have under estimated Arizona (can someone ask Carson Palmer to pee in a cup already?), but Niners-Cardinals games historically have been close affairs.

SEAHAWKS (-14.5) over Bears
            The line would have to be over three touchdowns for me to even consider taking Chicago.

DOLPHINS (-2.5) over Bills
            Buffalo shouldn’t be favored by half a point over the Dolphins on a neutral field. I’ll gladly accept the half-point discount here. 

Broncos (-3.5) over LIONS
            We have no idea what to make of Peyton Manning, but that shouldn’t matter Sunday night against a Lions team that looks ready to implode.

PACKERS (-7) over Chiefs
            It’s been ten days, and I feel like that has allowed the general public to forget how demoralizing Kansas City’s loss at home to Denver was. Now tasked with playing at Lambeau Field, we don’t like their chances Monday night.

 

Week 2 = 8-8

Thursday = 1-0 (second straight bullshit cover on Thursday Night Football)
Season = 17-15-1

Spread Picks By Team


            In our new weekly installment, I’ll update my record of picking games for each team. For example, I picked the Saints to cover against the Buccaneers. They didn’t, so I lost. Conversely, I picked the Cowboys to cover on the road at Philly. That did happen, so my pick is a win. You get the idea.

Redskins = 3-0
Browns = 2-0
Eagles = 2-0
Packers = 2-0
Vikings = 2-0
Lions = 2-0
Falcons = 2-0
Seahawks = 2-0
Rams = 2-0
49ers = 2-0
Patriots = 1-0-1
Steelers = 1-0-1
Giants = 2-1
Bills = 1-1
Titans = 1-1
Cowboys = 1-1
Dolphins = 1-1
Jets = 1-1
Texans = 1-1
Chiefs = 1-1
Chargers = 1-1
Bears = 1-1
Ravens = 0-2
Bengals = 0-2
Colts = 0-2
Jaguars = 0-2
Raiders = 0-2
Saints = 0-2
Buccaneers = 0-2
Panthers = 0-2
Cardinals = 0-2
Broncos = 0-2

Saturday, September 19, 2015

2015 NFL Week 2 Picks


Texans (+3) over PANTHERS


            In what will amount to a reenactment of football in the 1930s, we’ll take the points.



SAINTS (-10) over Buccaneers

            We don’t feel warm and fuzzy about backing the Saints as double-digit favorites, but it would be even scarier to back the Bucs under any circumstances after last week’s debacle.



STEELERS (-7) over 49ers

            At first glance, this line is too high, but you have to dig deeper to make peace with it. Pittsburgh will have had 10 days off and gets to play at home. San Francisco played in a game that started at 10:15 eastern time Monday night, and then has to travel cross-country to play at 1pm (10am Pacific, for those of you not paying attention) Sunday.



VIKINGS (-2) over Lions


            Minnesota will reestablish themselves as wildcard contenders in their home opener.



Patriots (-1) over BILLS

            Buffalo will dominate for three quarters before finding a way to blow it and lose by 3.



BEARS (+2) over Cardinals

            We predicted the Cardinals would go 6-10. No Credentials will bank on that prediction for one more week and take the points.



BROWNS (+2) over Titans

            Two words…Johnny Fucking Football. Also, people are overreacting after Tennessee’s win over Tampa Bay.



Chargers (+3.5) over BENGALS


            I don’t know if San Diego wins, but the extra half point on this line is disrespectful to Philip Rivers.



REDSKINS (+3.5) over Rams

            St. Louis has a history of playing down to it’s competition, and Washington wasn’t horrendous in Week 1.



Falcons (+2) over GIANTS

            So a week after an epic choke job (even Tony Romo said, “Man the Giants fucked up the end of that game”), New York is favored against a decent Falcons squad?



Ravens (-7) over RAIDERS

            In McGloin we do not trust.



Dolphins (-6) over JAGUARS

            Miami took care of business on the road last week against an inferior opponent, and we think they do it again in Jacksonville.



Cowboys (+5.5) over EAGLES

            If Romo pulls this one out, we can start up some MVP chatter.



PACKERS (-3.5) over Seahawks

            On one hand, this line should be PACKERS (-3). On the other, I think Green Bay wins. So…ya.



COLTS (-7) over Jets

            Indy got kicked in the teeth last week, but they will bounce back at home.

Week 1 = 8-7-1


Thursday = 0-1 (second straight bullshit cover on Thursday Night Football)



Spread Picks By Team




            In a new weekly installment, each week I’ll update my record of picking games for each team. For example, I picked the Colts to cover in Buffalo. They got annihilated, so I lost. Conversely, I picked the Seahawks to lose at St. Louis. That did happen, so my pick is a win. You get the idea.



Dolphins = 1-0

Jets = 1-0

Browns = 1-0

Texans = 1-0

Chargers = 1-0

Eagles = 1-0

Redskins = 1-0

Packers = 1-0

Vikings = 1-0

Lions = 1-0

Bears = 1-0

Falcons = 1-0

Seahawks = 1-0

Rams = 1-0

49ers = 1-0

Chiefs = 1-1

Patriots = 0-0-1

Steelers = 0-0-1

Bills = 0-1

Ravens = 0-1

Bengals = 0-1

Colts = 0-1

Jaguars = 0-1

Titans = 0-1

Raiders = 0-1

Cowboys = 0-1

Giants = 0-1

Saints = 0-1

Buccaneers = 0-1

Panthers = 0-1

Cardinals = 0-1
Broncos = 0-2

Saturday, September 12, 2015

2015 Week 1 NFL Picks

     Loyal readers of this blog (all three and a half of you) will recall that we benched ourselves from making picks last year because we were doing so bad. No Credentials has picked ourselves off the mat, brushed it off, and has dialed ourselves in for picks again. The best news is we didn't even lose our pick on Thursday night (we didn't win either, but who's counting?).


Packers (-7) over BEARS

            It’s the largest point spread of the Week 1 slate (tied with the Patriots Thursday night), and we forecast a rout.

Chiefs (+1) over TEXANS
            J.J. Watt is an amazing talent (you didn’t need me to tell you that), but he’s getting over exposed in the media. Couple that with the Alex Smith-Brian Hoyer mismatch, and we’ll take the Chiefs as a road dog.

JETS (-3.5) over Browns
            Ryan Fitzpatrick is good enough to beat the Browns. He should put that on his tombstone.

Colts (-3) over BILLS
            Buffalo is a trendy upset pick, but No Credentials isn’t ready to buy stock in Tyrod Taylor.

Dolphins (-3.5) over REDSKINS
            Kirk Cousins is the most overrated quarterback in THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE. A scary Miami defensive line will expose him.

JAGUARS (+3.5) over Panthers
            Jacksonville is frisky this year. They’ll hang with (and beat) a receiver-less Panthers squad.

RAMS (+4) over Seahawks
            St. Louis beat Seattle at home last year (it was bullshit, but a win is a win), so it’s not out of the realm of possibility that they could manage to only lose by a field goal.

Saints (+2.5) over CARDINALS
            The sky is falling for both of these teams, so we’ll take the points.

CHARGERS (-3) over Lions
            Of all the games this week, this one has the widest range of outcomes. Normally I’d take the points in this situation (like the previous pick), but backing Jim Caldwell and Matthew Stafford on the road is a dangerous proposition.

BUCCANEERS (-3) over Titans
            If we had ambition we would figure out if two quarterbacks drafted first and second faced off against each other in their regular season debuts. Ultimately, the talent around Jameis Winston is much stronger than what poor Marcus Mariotta is stuck with.

RAIDERS (+3) over Bengals
            Oakland signed Aldon Smith Friday, and he might play against the Bengals, which is insane.

Ravens (+5) over BRONCOS
            We have Baltimore winning the AFC, so we didn’t hesitate to grab the points here.

COWBOYS (-6) over Giants
            Go ahead NBC. Keep showing the Odell Beckham catch over and over and over and over and over and over again. It keeps people from remembering that the Cowboys actually won that game.

FALCONS (+3) over Eagles
            Holy over/under Batman. Unless the Packers beat Chicago 70-0, this is your best bet for highest scoring game of the weekend.

49ERS (-2.5) over Vikings
            All of the logical signs point to Minnesota in this one. San Francisco may have endured the worst off-season in the history of the league. Minnesota has one of the best collections of young talent. A pissed off Adrian Peterson is returning. That’s exactly why we’re picking San Francisco to win by a field goal. The Vikings will be fine (we have them making the playoffs as a wildcard), but the 49ers will circle the wagons for their home opener. 

Thursday = 0-0-1 (GARBAGE back door push by the Steelers)

Thursday, September 10, 2015

NFL Division and Playoff Picks


            You don’t even have to bother watching any NFL games this year, because No Credentials is here today to tell you how every team will do this season.

 

NFC EAST


Cowboys 12-4
Eagles 10-6
Giants 7-9
Washington 5-11

            The Eagles will look like world-destroyers some weeks, but ultimately Sam Bradford’s health will prevent them from winning the division. We love the Giants offense this year, but even when a nine fingered Jason Pierre-Paul returns, it won’t be enough to lift their putrid defense. Behind the best offensive line in football, the Cowboys will control the NFC East.

NFC North


Packers 13-3
Vikings 9-7
Bears 6-10
Lions 5-11

            Aaron Rodgers is our pick to win NFL MVP, as we’re going to really see how good he is without Jordy Nelson on the field. Minnesota has talent up and down the roster, and should be good enough to sneak into the playoffs. Chicago is a car-fire, and we expect Jim Caldwell to be the parachute that pulls the Lions down into the abyss.

NFC South


Falcons 10-6
Saints 7-9
Buccaneers 7-9
Panthers 6-10

            All of these teams are still mediocre, but Atlanta did the most during the off-season to make us believe they can right the ship.

NFC West


Seahawks 12-4
Rams 9-7
49ers 6-10
Cardinals 4-12

            The NFC West has been the class of the divisions for the past four years, but their grip on that title is slipping. San Francisco had one of the worst off-seasons in the history of THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE, and Arizona screams regression. Those two squads growing weaker will lift the Rams over .500, but we have them narrowly missing the playoffs. Seattle has lost a ton of depth from its Super Bowl winning squad two years ago, but they are still the class of the field.

AFC East


Patriots 11-5
Dolphins 10-6
Bills 7-9
Jets 6-10

            For the first time in several years during the Brady era (we won’t count 2008), the Patriots should actually get pushed for the division title. We still expect them to win it, but Miami will be hot on their heels. Buffalo and New York won’t be walks in the park, but their lousy quarterback production (sorry Tyrod) will doom them.

AFC North


Ravens 12-4
Steelers 10-6
Bengals 6-10
Browns 4-12

            Baltimore has done a nice job reloading since the bulk of their Super Bowl winning roster left, and we forecast them rejoining the AFC elite. No Credentials doesn’t know how we found 10 wins for Pittsburgh, but their offense will be elite when Le’Veon Bell returns. This feels like the year that Andy Dalton implodes in regular season games, so at least he won’t get to choke in Round 1. Cleveland…well they are the Browns.

AFC South


Colts 12-4
Texans 9-7
Jaguars 5-11
Titans 4-12

            Indy still has a stranglehold on the South, as Houston did not properly address their quarterback situation (sorry Brian Hoyer). Jacksonville won’t be all that good, but at least they have hope for the future.

AFC West


Broncos 11-5
Chiefs 9-7
Chargers 6-10
Raiders 6-10

            2015 will probably go down as Peyton Manning’s last stand, and his noodle arm should be good enough to give Denver another division title. On paper Kansas City is the most dangerous threat, but Alex Smith’s limitations will keep them out of the playoff picture. San Diego is due for a drop in production, while Oakland will take another step towards consistent competitiveness.

Wildcard Round (home team in caps)


SEAHAWKS over Vikings, Eagles over FALCONS, Dolphins over BRONCOS, PATRIOTS over Steelers

Divisional Round


PACKERS over Eagles, COWBOYS over Seahawks, RAVENS over Miami, Patriots over COLTS

Conference Championship


PACKERS over Cowboys, RAVENS over Patriots

Super Bowl


Packers over Ravens

Thursday, July 30, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Preview: Defense


            We previously discussed why you should wait until your very last pick (or only spend $1 in an auction) on a kicker. Now, I’m here to tell you why you should wait to pick a fantasy defense until your second to last pick.
            The scoring potential of a fantasy defense is dependant on the format of your league, but my logic for picking one isn’t impacted by scoring. Here’s our thesis…

            A fantasy defense’s scoring output is driven more by the quality of the opposing offense.

            With the rules of the game the way they are today, good offenses are more often than not going to score on good defenses. Just look at what the Patriots did in the Super Bowl to Seattle last February. I’d much rather own a defense that’s going up against one of the worst offenses every week (if that isn’t a Troy Aikman-esque observation, I don’t know what is).
            Putting that theory to test, let’s look at whom the teams that were the five worst offenses in THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE play during weeks 14 through 16 of the NFL season (those are the weeks of the fantasy playoffs, depending on your league setup). With each team listed, we’ll list the pre-season fantasy rank (as generated by Yahoo) of each defense they face.

Jaguars: Colts (13), Falcons (26), @ Saints (30)
Raiders: @ Broncos (17), Packers (9), Chargers (27)
Titans: @ Jets (29), @ Patriots (7), Texans (3)
Buccaneers: Saints (30), @ Rams (5), Bears (24)
Jets: Titans (28), @ Cowboys (19), Patriots (7)

            Of this group, the Patriots and Saints are the only teams that appear twice. New Orleans has a good chance of being a car fire this season, but wouldn’t you like their chances against Famous Jameis and Blake Bortles? You’ll be able to scoop them up off of the waiver wire at some point in November. The Patriots would be my ideal defense that I would hope to have fall into the second to last round, as their pathetic division opponents coupled with their relatively easy fantasy playoff slate (their week 14 opponent is Houston, who might be playing J.J. Watt at quarterback by the time they meet in December) set up nicely.
            To summarize…don’t over value fantasy defenses (translation: don’t use your sixth round pick on the Seahawks defense), and be prepared to work the waiver wire. 

Monday, February 2, 2015

Super Bowl XLIX Thoughts

            We’re going to list our Super Bowl observations in bullets, because why have organized, coherent thoughts in essay form?

-         Folks need to pump the brakes before anointing Super Bowl XLIX the greatest Super Bowl ever. It was certainly the most unbelievable ending I can think of (advanced metrics gave Seattle an 88% chance of winning when they had second and goal on the one yard line), but in terms of historical significance, others were more important. People don’t remember how big of a deal it was when John Elway won his first Super Bowl against Green Bay. Also, the Patriots were on their way to an undefeated season seven years ago when this happened.



-         I’m not sure what was more shocking, Seattle throwing on second and goal or Walter White showing up in a commercial. My jaw dropped for both events.
-         Speaking of commercials, I have a question for ad executives across America…



-         Off hand I remember four that emphasized fatherhood, a beer ad about a lost puppy, and the NFL’s too-little-too-late attempt to pretend they care about women with their “No More” campaign. None of those ads topped Nationwide Insurance’s critically panned ad where they had a ten year old say “BUT I DIED”. We need to bring back the Budweiser Frogs for Super Bowl 50.
-         Pepsi should’ve started slipping LSD into 20-ounce bottles so soda drinkers across the country could’ve better appreciated Katy Perry’s halftime show.
-         Lenny Kravitz was supposed to be Perry’s supporting act, and he was on stage for roughly 80 seconds. Weird.
-         The best decision of the night goes to NBC for deciding not to show a replay of Seattle cornerback Jeremy Lane snapping his wrist in half.
-         Speaking of that, that was what turned the game in favor of Tom Brady and the Patriots. The Seahawks don’t have the same depth at corner they had against Denver last year, and they simply ran out of guys to cover Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola, and Shane Vereen.
-         Tom Brady is a damn good quarterback, but we’re still taking Joe Montana over him as the greatest Super Bowl QB of all time.
-         It will be very interesting to see how Russell Wilson bounces back from that ghastly interception. Plays like that ruin careers.
-    The dude that made the circus catch for Seattle was on his way to being remembered for making one of the greatest plays in Super Bowl history until the Seahawks forgot they employed Marshawn Lynch.
-         We predicted the Patriots would be playing in the Super Bowl in August. No joke you can read it right here! That’s literally the last quality football prediction I made the rest of the season.

With all that said we bid a sad goodbye to the NFL for seven months. The league’s flaws were certainly exposed over the past 12 months, but a game like Super Bowl XLIX is a reminder of why America is so obsessed with THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE. We look forward to offering up our season previews for 2015 this summer. Until then, hang out with your family (remember football fans, some of you have kids), watch other sports (the NBA is ridiculous right now), or do whatever it takes to fill the void left by the NFL season ending. 

Sunday, February 1, 2015

Super Bowl Prediction

Seahawks over Patriots

Whether it's Marshawn Lynch or Russell Wilson carrying the load, Seattle's running game will be the difference.

Also, our money is on the under.

Enjoy the game, and don't drive drunk after it.

Saturday, January 10, 2015

NFL Divisional Round Picks

Don't have a lot of time this week, so we'll keep it short and sweet.

PATRIOTS (-7) over Ravens - Too much buzz that Baltimore is Tom Brady's scariest opponent, so we are going to go the other way and predict a Patriots blow out. New England 28, Baltimore 10

SEAHAWKS (-11.5) over Panthers - You can't make this line high enough. Seattle 24, Carolina 0

Cowboys (+6) over PACKERS - Rodgers calf issue gives us logical reasons to pick a Cowboys upset. Dallas 31, Green Bay 28

BRONCOS (-7) over Colts - It's weird that a team quarterbacked by Peyton Manning is under the radar, but that's exactly what has happened. They'll make noise this week. Denver 34, Indianapolis 20

Wild-Card Round = 3-1


Wednesday, December 3, 2014

NFL Power Rankings

            We are 75% of the way through the NFL regular season (sad, but true!), and now is the time where teams begin to really separate themselves. What better time to offer up a ranking of every NFL squad.

First Overall Pick Contenders

32. Oakland Raiders (1-11) – Well, at least they’ve won a game. It would be best for them to lose out so they can lock up the number one pick. Drafting a quarterback or trading the pick to surround Derek Carr with more talent are both great options.

31. New York Jets (2-10) – Rex Ryan deserves better than the putrid roster he’s forced to work with on a weekly basis.

30. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) – Blake Bortles has been emphatically uninspiring, which means he’s either the next Troy Aikman or the next Blaine Gabbert.

29. Tennessee Titans (2-10) – There are decent players here, but the quarterback situation is so dreadful there is no hope of contention. If Oakland were to trade the number one overall pick, Tennessee would be the most logical trade partner.

28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-10) – Tampa Bay is so bad, they are out of playoff contention in a division that is led by a team that is 5-7. We think they’d like to take the contract they gave Josh McCown back.

Hopelessly Irrelevant

27. Carolina Panthers (3-8-1) – Everyone expected the offense to struggle, but no one thought the defense would fall off so dramatically from last year.

26. Washington (3-9) – If not for the infamous Herschel Walker trade from Dallas to Minnesota in 1989, the RGIII trade would go down as the worst transaction in NFL history.

25. New York Giants (3-9) – Remember when the Giants were 3-2 this year after emphatically ending the “Kirk Cousins is the second coming of Joe Theismann” campaign in Washington? Me neither.

24. Chicago Bears (5-7) – I hope Marc Trestman has his resume up to date.

They Play in the NFC South, So They Are Sort Of Relevant

23. Atlanta Falcons (5-7) – Incredibly, the team we have ranked as the tenth worst club in the league is leading their division going into the last month of the regular season.

Good Bad Teams

22. Minnesota Vikings (5-7)
21. St. Louis Rams (5-7) – We put these clubs together because both squads are a pain in the ass to play. Minnesota in particular deserves props for how well they’ve played despite the Adrian Peterson situation hanging over their franchise.

20. Houston Texans (6-6) – Oddly enough, the only team in football with a .500 record. Houston is a solid quarterback away from serious playoff contention.

19. Cleveland Browns (7-5) – It’s time to get Johnny Fucking Football onto the field.

18. New Orleans Saints (5-7) – We really want the Saints to go 3-1 so we can avoid a 7-9 team making the playoffs. Let’s look at their remaining schedule.

Week 14 = vs. Panthers (WIN)
Week 15 = @ Bears (WIN, the Bears are garbage)
Week 16 = vs. Falcons (WIN, and they clinch the NFC South with the victory)
Week 17 = @ Buccaneers (LOSS, they will have nothing to play for)

            You heard it here first…the Saints will finish 8-8.

17. Buffalo Bills (7-5) – We can’t in good faith rank a team quarterbacked by Kyle Orton any higher.

Enigmas

16. San Francisco 49ers (7-5) – We’re not sure if it’s the hoopla surrounding Jim Harbaugh’s contract status, the league figuring out Colin Kaepernick, or Frank Gore finally losing it, but something is just off with the 49ers this year.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) – Pittsburgh is really going to regret losing against two of the five worst teams in the NFL.

14. Kansas City Chiefs (7-5) – Kansas City is really going to regret their shocking loss at Oakland.

13. Baltimore Ravens (7-5) – Baltimore is really going to regret that late game collapse against San Diego.

12. San Diego Chargers (8-4) – San Diego’s defense has completely fallen apart, but Phil Rivers has literally put the team on his back.

11. Miami Dolphins (7-5) – I’d like the Dolphins so much more if Ryan Tannehill could consistently complete a pass that needs to travel more than 15 yards through the air.

Wish They Had Their Starting QB

10. Arizona Cardinals (9-3) – It’s a damn shame Carson Palmer went down, otherwise the Cardinals would be ranked third or fourth on this list. With Drew Stanton under center, they will be lucky to go 2-2 in December (remaining schedule is Chiefs, @ Rams, Seahawks, @ 49ers).

Best Case Scenario = Winning One Playoff Game

9. Dallas Cowboys (8-4) – I’ll admit the loss on Thanksgiving was pretty demoralizing, but you have to remember that all of our losses have occurred at home. If we can climb into a wildcard spot, it’s not unrealistic to think we could make noise in January.

8. Detroit Lions (8-4) – Detroit boasts the best scoring defense in THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE, and there is enough star power on offense to think they could get hot in the playoffs.

7. Cincinnati Bengals (8-3-1) – We’d like to rank them higher, but then we remember Andy Dalton is the Bengals starting quarterback.

6. Indianapolis Colts (8-4) – Indy has gotten smoked whenever they've taken the field against an elite team, but Andrew Luck has the ability to put the Colts on his back in the playoffs.

Super Bowl Contenders

5. Philadelphia Eagles (9-3) – The Eagles are an elite quarterback away from being the best team in football. Having Nick Foles or Mark Sanchez under center in January will be a problem.

4. Seattle Seahawks (8-4) – Seattle is flying under the radar, but we’re forecasting a first round bye for the defending Super Bowl champs.

3. Green Bay Packers (9-3) – In a season full of impressive quarterback performances, what Aaron Rodgers did to lead the Packers to victory over the Patriots is near the top of the list.

2. Denver Broncos (9-3) – Denver righted themselves offensively after they laid an egg in St. Louis.


1. New England Patriots (9-3) – There is no shame in losing at Lambeau Field, but the Patriots can’t afford to slip up the rest of the way.