Showing posts with label Los Angeles Dodgers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Los Angeles Dodgers. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 1, 2014

Overcooked MLB Preview

            Some of you asked if I was going to write about real baseball this year, and I’m proud to say that I did. Unfortunately, I forgot to post this Sunday afternoon, so you’re getting it two days later than it was originally intended to be released. Based on my March Madness performance, it’s probably for the better, as I wouldn’t want anyone making bets on any advice I have to offer at the moment. Without further ado, we run through each division, with some playoff predictions at the end.

 


NL West


5. Colorado Rockies
            The pitching is abysmal, and we predict by June that whispers of Troy Tulowitzki ending up in pinstripes become shouts.

4. San Diego Padres
            Almost the exact opposite of Colorado, San Diego has the proud distinction of providing the most inept offense in the National League. A Chase Headley bounce-back campaign is their only hope.

3. Arizona Diamondbacks
            If they were willing to pay the price for David Price, we’d consider bumping this team up to the top spot in the NL West. Without him, their rotation is a bit of a mess until Archie Bradley reaches the Major Leagues.

2. San Francisco Giants
            The 2012 World Series champs had a down 2013 for a variety of reasons, but if half of those issues correct themselves, they should be looking at a Wild Card spot.

1. Los Angeles Dodgers
            They have the best starting pitcher (Clayton Kershaw), arguably the best shortstop (Hanley Ramirez), and MLB’s best chance of Manny Ramirez 2.0 (Yaisel Puig). Not to mention that they are owned by crazy people who will do whatever it takes at the trade deadline to improve the team. There’s always a chance of an October flameout, but in the regular season the Dodgers are the best bet to rack up the most wins in MLB.

AL West


5. Houston Astros
            Are the Astros the Philadelphia 76ers of MLB, or vice versa? Regardless, some of Houston’s top prospects will be hitting the bigs soon. There’s a chance they won’t be horrendous in 2016.

4. Oakland Athletics
            Oakland always squeezes more production out of it’s players than any other team, but season ending injuries to a couple prominent members of their starting rotation will set them back.

3. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
            I think Pujols comes back to near All-Star form, and Mike Trout is ridiculous, but until Los Angeles corrects their pitching issues, they won’t hang with Texas.

2. Seattle Mariners
            Either we’re over eager about Seattle because of their abundance of young starting pitching behind Felix Hernandez, or because Robinson Cano has been one of the team captains of my No Credentials Fantasy Baseball team for three years. Regardless, there’s a chance that Cano stabilizes an offense full of talented players who haven’t delivered yet.

1. Texas Rangers
            We’re bummed out about Jurickson Profar missing the first three months of the year, but there’s still a ridiculous amount of depth offensively. Prince Fielder will return to previous form playing his home games in Arlington, and Adrian Beltre is arguably the most under appreciated great player in the game. They’ll need to acquire another starting pitcher before the deadline to be a true threat in the playoffs, but there’s enough here for them to win the AL West.

NL Central


5. Chicago Cubs
            We’re about a year away from seeing the benefits of Theo Epstein’s rebuild, but at least Chicago should have the most exciting mid-season call-up in the form of Javier Baez. 

4. Milwaukee Brewers
            Milwaukee could win anywhere between 65 and 95 games and I wouldn’t be completely surprised. As we’ve written before, Ryan Braun is a complete asshole who won’t care about getting booed everywhere he goes. He should return to near MVP-level form. It’s the question marks in the starting pitching staff (in particular, presumed ace Yovani Gallardo, who imploded last year) that make us lukewarm on them surpassing any of the other three playoff teams in their division from a year ago.

3. Pittsburgh Pirates
            The Pirates were a blast last year, even getting contributions from a pitcher who grew up right in No Credentials home turf. It would’ve been great to see them go all-in and acquire another power bat, but it appears they are just hoping for another step forward from Pedro Alvarez. They’ll still be competitive, but we see them just missing the Wildcard game.

2. St. Louis Cardinals
            Are the San Antonio Spurs the St. Louis Cardinals of the NBA, or vice versa? They’re incredible pitching depth will have them in the hunt as always come October.

1. Cincinnati Reds
            Forgetting his forgettable 0-4, four strikeouts performance on opening day, we think Billy Hamilton is the key to the Reds overtaking St. Louis in the NL Central. His transformational speed is enough of a difference maker to make an already potent Reds lineup all the more lethal.

AL Central

5. Minnesota Twins
            Hard not to think that Joe Mauer’s move away from catcher is about three or four years too late.

4. Chicago White Sox
            There are not a lot of interesting players here, but at least Jose Abreu should be fun to watch.

3. Cleveland Indians
            Last year’s most surprising AL playoff participant, Cleveland likely needs Carlos Santana to have a career year in order to put them over the hump.

2. Kansas City Royals
            For the first time in a while Kansas City actually has some depth in their starting rotation. Mike Moustakas fulfilling his post-hype sleeper status alongside former top prospect Eric Hosmer is needed for the Royals to have any chance of knocking off Detroit.

1. Detroit Tigers
            They have the best pure power hitter in baseball and the deepest starting rotation in the American League. Throw in some better clubhouse chemistry now that Prince Fielder is in Texas, and you have yourself the favorites to represent the American League in the World Series.

NL East


5. Miami Marlins
            At what point do the Marlins pull the trigger on a Giancarlo Stanton trade? He’s the best tool they have to completely reload their farm system.

4. New York Mets

            Matt Harvey’s injury really is a bummer. New York might’ve actually had a chance to at least be in shouting distance of a wildcard spot if their young ace was healthy.

3. Atlanta Braves
            No team was ravaged more by injuries during spring training than Atlanta. They are one of the few teams that have the depth to deal with losing 40% of their starting rotation (that’s a fancy way of saying they lost two starting pitchers), but we think that puts them a step behind in the NL East.

2. Philadelphia Phillies
            Remember the 2009-10 Phoenix Suns, who made a semi-improbable run to the Western Conference Finals a few seasons after it looked like the Nash Era would never contend for a NBA title again? That’s the kind of year I’m predicting for Philly.

1. Washington Nationals
            A full year of solid health for Bryce Harper (who was fortunate not to get a concussion after getting kicked in the head on opening day) is what we are predicting, as well as a serious run at the NL MVP award. If the offense improves their scoring output by one run per game over last year, their pitching will take care of the rest.

AL East


5. New York Yankees
            The infield is atrocious, there are no sure things in the starting rotation (Sabathia is washed up, Kuroda is a nerd stats regression candidate, and while we like Tanaka, we aren’t ready to bet the farm on him), and even more frightening, they don’t have THE HAMMER OF GOD anymore. Throw in the fact that they will be lucky to get 240 combined games out of Jacoby Ellsbury and Carlos Beltran, and this has all the makings of a season similar to what the Red Sox endured in 2012.At least for their sake, Bobby Valentine isn’t the manager.

4. Baltimore Orioles
            For my money, no team whiffed more in the off-season than the Baltimore Orioles. The offense is dynamite (and the Nelson Cruz signing at least paid dividends on opening day), but if there was one team that needed to through an obscure amount of cash at Tanaka, it was Baltimore. Ubaldo Jimenez is not enough for the Orioles to get into playoff contention.

3. Boston Red Sox
            Coming off a year where just about everything went right, it would make sense that a market correction will occur. We are hopeful that Grady Sizemore (one of the franchise players on one of my all-time favorite fantasy baseball teams I owned in 2008) makes a serious run at Comeback Player of the Year.

2. Toronto Blue Jays
            Think of this prediction as the opposite of what I just said about Boston. Virtually everything went wrong for Toronto last year, and while they didn’t get off to a great start against Tampa Bay, we still think the Blue Jays have the manpower to at least finish second in the AL East.

1. Tampa Bay (Devil) Rays
            On paper, this is the best (Devil) Rays team of the Joe Maddon era. There’s so much pitching depth throughout the organization, they could trade David Price and still not miss a beat. Wil Myers will form a dynamic duo with Evan Longoria in his sophomore campaign, giving the offense a much-needed boost. Barring a significant injury to Longoria (which could happen), this is the team to beat in the AL East.

(Probably Terrible) Playoff Predictions

NL West = Dodgers
NL Central = Reds
NL East = Nationals
NL Wildcard 1 = Cardinals
NL Wildcard 2 = Giants

AL Central = Tigers
AL East = (Devil) Rays
AL West = Rangers
AL Wildcard 1 = Mariners
AL Wildcard 2 = Royals

NLCS = Reds over Cardinals
ALCS = Tigers over Rays

World Series = Reds over Tigers

 

 

 

Monday, March 24, 2014

10 Awesome Things That Happened This Weekend (3/21-3/23)

10. Dodger and Diamondbacks Play Regular Season Games in Australia
            I’m not sure what exactly Major League Baseball was trying to accomplish by staging games that actually a count a week before the rest of the regular season in a place not exactly known for it’s love of baseball. If Arizona finishes two games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, they should be pretty pissed.

9. Kyle Larson Earns First Career Nationwide Win
            Larson backed up Saturday’s effort with an insane march to the front during Sunday’s green-white-checkered finish, nearly stealing a Sprint Cup win from Kyle Busch. Kyle Larson is the future of NASCAR.

8. Michael Vick Replaces The Sanchize
            It’s only fitting that in honor of Mark Sanchez officially getting the boot from the New York Jets, we post a video of his most infamous NFL moment.

 

7. David Ortiz Resigned Through 2015
            Boston has so little money committed to players beyond 2015 that they can afford to pay an aging Ortiz $16 million per year (if he hits certain incentives, he’ll be under contract through 2017). As the last man standing who has been on all three Red Sox championship teams this century, he deserves it.

6. Kevin Durant Leads Westbrook-less Thunder to Double Overtime Victory
            Durant’s final three points came with 1.7 seconds left in double overtime, as the Thunder finished off an Eastern Conference road trip 3-0. They would be wise to think about sitting Russell Westbrook for the remainder of the regular season.

5. 4-Point Play Seals Stephen F. Austin Upset
            Sadly, No Credentials pre-tourney Cinderella pick couldn’t parlay their miraculous victory over VCU into a Sweet 16 berth.

4. Kyle Busch’s Tires Don’t Explode, So He Wins Second Straight At California
            I may be in the minority here, but I like races where Goodyear Eagles spontaneously combust, and especially when a flat left front ruins a Jimmie Johnson trip to victory lane.
        
3. Dayton Slays Another Dragon, Knocks Off Syracuse
            After stifling a Syracuse squad that spent three weeks earlier in the season as the top ranked team in basketball, Dayton caught another break when #2 Kansas fell at the hands of Stanford. It’s not unrealistic to think Dayton could find themselves in the Elite 8.
         
2. Wichita State’s Undefeated Run Ends
            For the record, we had Wichita going down in the Round of 32. Unfortunately we had Kansas State doing it, not Kentucky.

1. Duke Loses in First Round to #14 Mercer
            If you’re going to lose one of your Final Four teams in the first round, it might as well be the Duke Blue Devils.

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Half-Baked MLB Preview

            After watching parts of a dominating performance by Kyle Lohse (Kyle f***ing Lohse!), I feel pretty stupid about producing two pages worth of a Word document on a sport that almost puts me into a deep coma. Despite this questioning of my self-worth, here’s No Credentials predicted order of finish for each division in MLB.

NL West


  1. Arizona Diamondbacks
  2. San Francisco Giants
  3. Colorado Rockies
  4. Los Angeles Dodgers
  5. San Diego Padres
If you were allowed to put the Giants pitching staff with the Rockies offense, you’d have a super team. Unfortunately, that’s not allowed, so we’re stuck with picking the most well rounded team in the division to win the NL West. Arizona has the most underrated starting rotation in the NL, and a deep bullpen to support it. A monster campaign from Justin Upton (think .290-35-115-110-25) puts Arizona into the 95-win zone.

AL West

  1. Texas Rangers
  2. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
  3. Oakland Athletics
  4. Seattle Mariners
It doesn’t really matter if you put Texas or the Angels first or second in this division. With each team getting 36 chances to beat the living snot out of the Mariners and Athletics, both of these teams will be making the playoffs.

NL Central

  1. Cincinnati Reds
  2. Milwaukee Brewers
  3. St. Louis Cardinals
  4. Chicago Cubs
  5. Pittsburgh Pirates
  6. Houston Astros
          The toughest division for No Credentials to pick, we ended up going with the club that lost the least during the off-season. I have a hard time believing it will be business as usual in St. Louis without Albert Pujols, and Milwaukee faces a similar issue without Prince Fielder.

AL Central

  1. Detroit Tigers
  2. Cleveland Indians
  3. Minnesota Twins
  4. Kansas City Royals
  5. Chicago White Sox
I tried to talk myself into picking Cleveland to win the division, but can’t do it. Even if Detroit’s infield is leakier than the Titanic, the Tigers should win the division by 10 games or more.

NL East

  1. Philadelphia Phillies
  2. Washington Nationals
  3. Atlanta Braves
  4. Miami Marlins
  5. New York Mets
         This is the most competitive division in MLB. You could make a strong case for any of the top four clubs to win the division. Philadelphia’s three-headed monster at the top of their rotation still gives them the edge in No Credentials book, but their aging offense is becoming more of an Achilles heal.

AL East

  1. Tampa Bay (Devil) Rays
  2. New York Yankees
  3. Boston Red Sox
  4. Toronto Blue Jays
  5. Baltimore Orioles
          New York is getting long in the tooth (other than Robinson Cano), and doesn’t have a reliable starter other than C.C. Sabathia. Boston will need to get a borderline historically dominant season from their offense (a possibility. If Boston makes the playoffs, it will be because Adrian Gonzalez is the AL MVP) to overcome the issues they will have with their bullpen (TANGENT ALERT: I hate the placement of Daniel Bard in the starting rotation. They essentially traded one of the best setup men of the past two seasons who has the stuff to close games for a guy who had an ERA over 6.00 the last time he was a regular starter, and that was in Single-A ball in 2007). Tampa Bay has the most pitching depth (minors included) of any club in baseball. Evan Longoria is due for a hammer-of-God season (he was plagued last season by a insanely unlucky BABIP), and the emergence of Desmond Jennings should fill in what they lost when Carl Crawford left for Boston (remember folks, Carl Crawford used to be good once upon a time). This is why No Credentials is cursing the Tampa Bay (Devil) Rays by picking them to win the AL East.

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

NL West Preview

            After talking on the phone with my Dad and listen to him complain about how he can’t read my articles on fantasy baseball because fantasy sports is for losers that don’t live in the real world, I figured I’d throw the old man a bone and write about real baseball. Over the course of the next week or two, I’ll offer short assessments of the potential of every team. I’ll assess top players for each squad (grouped in three categories, A-Level, B-Level, and C-Level) as well as predict what the highest win total for each will be as well as the lowest potential win total. Lastly, I’ll offer up final season record predictions (I’m hoping for at least 10 of my final win predictions to be within 5 games, but based on my NFL prop bet experiment, I should probably pray for just 4). Without further ado, here is my preview of the National League West.

5. Arizona Diamondbacks
A-Level = RF Justin Upton
B-Level = 2B Kelly Johnson, SP Daniel Hudson, CL J.J. Putz
C-Level = C Miguel Montero, SS Stephen Drew, CF Chris Young, SP Ian Kennedy, RP Juan Gutierrez
Ceiling = 80 Wins
Floor = 60 Wins
How They Could Reach the Ceiling – Arizona cleaned out their entire coaching staff from single-A through the major league club last season. There coaches are finally encouraging hitters to be more patient at the plate, which could have a huge impact on Justin Upton. Getting rid of Mark Reynolds (aka “Whiff-Master Flex”) and Adam LaRoche were steps in the right direction. J.J. Putz provides stability at the back-end of the bullpen that has been missing in Arizona for years. If young starters Daniel Hudson and Ian Kennedy show improvement in 2011, this team could end up around .500.
How They Could Fall to the FloorEven if Putz is solid in the 9th inning, they still need to figure out how hold a lead until that point. Middle relief is still a major issue. A brutal schedule the first quarter of the season doesn’t do them any favors either. Upton has immense talent, but isn’t at a level where he can carry the entire offense on his back.

Closer to Ceiling or Floor? – I would bet on them ending up 67-95, but at least there is hope in the desert. Better coaching in the minor leagues will improve the Diamondbacks by the time 2015 rolls around.


4. San Diego Padres
A-Level = SP Mat Latos, CL Heath Bell
B-Level = None
C-Level = 2B Orlando Hudson, SS Jason Bartlett, 3B Chase Headley, LF Ryan Ludwick, SP Clayton Richard, SP Aaron Harang, RP Luke Gregerson
Ceiling = 75 Wins
Floor = 65 Wins
How They Could Reach the Ceiling – The Padres need to have incredible pitching and great defense to have any shot at sniffing .500. Without Adrian Gonzalez, there is no one in their lineup that an opposing manager will fear. Latos will be solid this season, but they need both Clayton Richard and Aaron Harang (an under the radar fantasy sleeper) to have ERA’s below 4.00 to be competitive on a nightly basis. CF Cameron Maybin (who was acquired in a trade with the Marlins) realizes his potential that could be shot in the arm.
How They Fall to the Floor – This team is going to have an incredibly hard time scoring runs. If Richard and Harang are flops, their bullpen is not deep enough to keep them in every four out of five games.
Closer to Ceiling or Floor? – I’ll push and say they end up 70-92. Their giant ballpark should somewhat neutralize their opponents offense and keep them in the majority of their home games.

3. Los Angeles Dodgers
A-Level = CF Matt Kemp, SP Clayton Kershaw, CL Jonathan Broxton
B-Level = RF Andre Ethier, SP Chad Billingsley, SP Ted Lilly, SP Hiroki Kuroda, RP Hong-Chih Kuo
C-Level = 1B James Loney, 2B Juan Uribe, SS Rafael Furcal, SP Jon Garland, RP Matt Guerrier
Ceiling = 95 Wins
Floor = 75 Wins
How They Could Reach the Ceiling – You could make a strong case that the Dodgers have one of the best rotations in all of baseball. All of their starters are capable of giving 6+ innings a night on a consistent basis. Strong pitching paired with a strong bounce back season from Matt Kemp could carry this team to a surprise division victory.
How They Fall to the Floor – The Dodger’s financial situation has been in flux ever since the divorce case of owners Frank and Jamie McCourt began. Among things like houses and real estate, ownership of the team is being battled for. The divorce has crippled the team’s ability to add players the past two seasons. If Los Angeles struggles out of the gate, expect the Dodgers to act quickly to shed payroll. A cloud like this can have a sobering effect on a baseball team.
Closer to Ceiling or Floor? -  I’ll bet on 88 wins for Los Angeles. Their pitching will keep them competitive, but this looks like a club that could use one more bat. Unless the ownership situation is cleared up by early summer, I don’t think they will have the ability to make a move at the trade deadline.

2. San Francisco Giants
A-Level = C Buster Posey, SP Tim Lincecum, CL Brian Wilson
B-Level = 1B Aubrey Huff, 3B Pablo Sandoval, SP Matt Cain, SP Jonathan Sanchez
C-Level = SS Miguel Tejada, CF Andres Torres, SP Madison Bumgarner
Ceiling = 95 Wins
Floor = 85 Wins
How They Could Reach the Ceiling – San Francisco’s foundation is built upon their strong starting pitching. While duplicating their amazing run in the 2010 postseason is unlikely, there is reason to believe that Jonathan Sanchez and Madison Bumgarner could improve in 2011. Pablo Sandoval has come to camp 30 pounds lighter than last year, so expect numbers closer to his 2009 production than 2010. 1B prospect Brandon Belt should find his way to the big leagues by the end of June, and he has the potential to be this year’s version of Buster Posey.
How They Fall to the Floor – Other than Buster Posey (who is a stud), this is a team that relied on a career year from Aubrey Huff and huge postseason hits by Edgar Renteria and Juan Uribe. In other words, there was some luck that played into San Francisco’s success in 2010. If Sandoval doesn’t bounce back, San Francisco will have a hard time scoring runs.
Closer to Ceiling or Floor? – I’ll push and say they finish 90-72. Their pitching should be phenomenal again, and as long as they get production from two of their best three hitters down the stretch (Posey, Huff, or Sandoval), they should contend for both the division and wild card.

1. Colorado Rockies
A-Level = SS Troy Tulowitzki, LF Carlos Gonzalez, SP Ubaldo Jimenez
B-Level = SP Jorge De La Rosa, CL Huston Street
C-Level = 1B Todd Helton, CF Dexter Fowler, SP Jason Hammel, SP Jhoulys Chacin, Matt Belisle
Ceiling = 95 Wins
Floor = 85 Wins
How They Could Reach the Ceiling – Monster seasons from their three A-Level players would be a good start. Tulowitzki had a historic month of September last year, but needs to bring it for the entire year to become an MVP candidate. Gonzalez would be the biggest benefactor of a strong season from Tulowitzki, as hitting in front of him should give Carlos plenty of fastballs to hit. Jimenez was the opposite of Tulowitzki. He was the best pitcher in baseball before the all-star break, but tailed off down the stretch. Jimenez pitching like an ace for an entire year will go a long way in helping out a pitching staff that also needs production from three pitchers with upside, but still a lot to prove. A mid-season trade that could locate a player to hit 5th (maybe a deal for Cubs 3B Aramis Ramirez if Chicago struggles) would greatly enhance the Rockies’ lineup.
How They Fall to the Floor – Tulowitzki has dealt with some form of injury for the past three seasons. Any stint on the disabled list for Troy would severely cripple an offense that currently doesn’t have anyone else who could step into the cleanup role (Todd Helton isn’t what he used to be back in the early ‘00s). As I mentioned previously while assessing him for fantasy, Carlos Gonzalez is a candidate for a major regression in 2011. If Gonzalez struggles, teams will have the benefit of being able to pitch around Tulowitzki. Colorado also needs someone to step up as a second banana behind Ubaldo Jimenez in order to compete with San Francisco and Los Angeles.
Closer to Ceiling or Floor? – While the Dodgers and Giants have more valuable parts, I think Colorado has the two best hitters in the division. Look for Tulo and Gonzo to carry Colorado to 93 wins and a division title.