Week 4 NFL Picks

Week 4 Bye Weeks = Green Bay Packers (1-2), Carolina Panthers (1-2)
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-3) vs. Minnesota Vikings (0-3)

Sunday, 1pm, CBS, O/U 42.5
Game will be played in London
            There isn’t a better way to further promote America’s passion across the pond than shipping two winless teams overseas to play. Ultimately, Pittsburgh’s defense should be enough to get them back in the win column.

Steelers (-3) over Vikings

 

Baltimore Ravens (2-1) @ Buffalo Bills (1-2)

Sunday, 1pm, CBS, O/U 44
            Buffalo looks like a group that will play much better at home than on the road this season, but I think Baltimore squeaks this one out. Almost thought about picking a push.

Ravens (-3) over BILLS

 

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) @ Cleveland Browns (1-2)

Sunday, 1pm, CBS, O/U 42.5
            Cleveland already won one more game than their general manager was hoping they would win this season. I’m expecting a major beat down.

Bengals (-4.5) over BROWNS

Indianapolis Colts (2-1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3)

Sunday, 1pm, CBS, O/U 42.5
            This line is three points too high, but I can’t in good faith place any betting faith in Blaine Gabbert.

Colts (-9.5) over JAGUARS

 

Seattle Seahawks (3-0) @ Houston Texans (2-1)

Sunday, 1pm, FOX, O/U 42
            Tough one to call for me, but AT THE END OF THE DAY it feels like a game that Houston needs to win more.

TEXANS (+2) over Seahawks

 

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3)

Sunday, 1pm, FOX, O/U 40
            Wouldn’t shock me at all if Arizona’s defense outscores Tampa Bay’s offense. Greg Schiano better be getting his resume ready.

Cardinals (+2.5) over BUCCANEERS

 

Chicago Bears (3-0) @ Detroit Lions (2-1)

Sunday, 1pm, FOX, O/U 48.5
            Explain to me how the Lions are favored in this game please? Last time I checked, the combined records of the teams they beat this season is 0-6.

Bears (+2.5) over LIONS

New York Giants (0-3) @ Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)

Sunday, 1pm, FOX, O/U 44
            For me, this was the toughest line to pick all week. It feels like the score will be lopsided, regardless of which team wins.

CHIEFS (-4.5) over Giants

 

New York Jets (2-1) @ Tennessee Titans (2-1)

Sunday, 4pm, CBS, O/U 40.5
            Could the Jets be the worst 2-1 team in NFL history? They are in the discussion.

TITANS (-4) over Jets

 

Dallas Cowboys (2-1) @ San Diego Chargers (1-2)

Sunday, 430pm, FOX, O/U 47
            This is normally a game the Cowboys would lose, but I’m starting to get a feeling about this year’s squad. If your desperate for help at wide receiver in fantasy, add Cowboys rookie Terrance Williams.

Cowboys (-2.5) over CHARGERS

 

Washington Redskins (0-3) @ Oakland Raiders (1-2)

Sunday, 430pm, FOX, O/U 44
            Through the first three weeks, Oakland has been a better team than Washington. If they lose, it will be by a field goal or less.

RAIDERS (+3.5) over Redskins

Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) @ Denver Broncos (3-0)

Sunday, 430pm, FOX, O/U 58.5
            Ethan made the point in his write up that I already had posted here, so scroll down and see what he wrote.

BRONCOS (-11.5) over Eagles

 

New England Patriots (3-0) @ Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

Sunday, 830pm, NBC, O/U 50.5
            Above all else, Atlanta’s desperation trumps anything New England brings to the table. I won’t be surprised if this one gets ugly.

FALCONS (-2.5) over Patriots

 

Miami Dolphins (3-0) @ New Orleans Saints (3-0)

Monday, 830pm, ESPN, O/U 48.5
            Miami is legit. This line is three or four points too high.

Dolphins (+7) over SAINTS

 

Ethan’s Picks

Steelers - Apparently Matt Cassel is starting this game. I attended a Matt Cassel MNF game with Cameron where he threw 3 TDs and was still getting booed at Gillette Stadium (EDITORS NOTE: I think it was five touchdowns, and he also managed to get sacked seven times). It was pretty awesome.

Ravens - The defense is starting to gel.

Bengals - I am always scared Andy Dalton is going to throw 4 INTS though.

Colts - Hopefully they aren’t riding too high after last week’s big win.

Seattle - If Houston scores more than 10 I will be surprised.

Cardinals - This is a coin flip. If this game is aired on Fox I am going to be pissed.

Bears - I am pretty surprised that Detroit is favored here. The scoreboard will be lit up like Jessie at his peak of meth addiction.

Chiefs - At some point the Giants will get it together, but not this week.

Titans - I see a horrible game from Geno Smith in the forecast.

Cowboys - I picked them to choke against St. Louis, so they will probably throw me under the bus this week.

Raiders - I really don’t like RGIII. Oakland has a pretty good pass rush so I hope to see him get smacked around this weekend.

Broncos - Peyton is going to throw for 600 yards and 5 TDs because the Eagles will three and out in less than a minute 7 times in this game.

Patriots - First tough game for the Pats, but it certainly is not the strongest defense they have faced.

Dolphins - Even though I picked the Pats, they will probably lose, Miami will pull out a big win and then we get to listen to people blow it way out of proportion that Miami is leading the division. In the end it will not matter. There is nothing that I would not bet that New England wins the division this year.

No Credentials Week 3 Picks = 9-6-1

Ethan’s Picks = 7-8-1

No Credentials Season = 25-21-2

Ethan’s Record = 26-20-2

Our Thursday Pick = 1-0