35. A.J. Allmendinger
A.J.
literally pissed his chances of a legitimate Sprint Cup career
away, barring a miraculous B-sample test result. Completely, Utterly, Irrelevant
34. David Stremme
33. Dave Blaney32. David Reutimann
31. Landon Cassill
30. Travis Kvapil
29. David Gilliland
28. Casey Mears
This group has accomplished only two noteworthy things this season. Dave Blaney was the leader of the Daytona 500 when Juan Pablo Montoya took out the jet dryer (which resulted in Blaney being a trending topic on Twitter, which is reason #112 the Mayans might be on to something). David Reutimann drove his decrepit racecar around one lap too long at Martinsville, stopped on the front straightaway, and fucked up a classic duel between Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon. Other than that, nothing to see here.
Incredibly, These Guys Won a Race Last Year
27. David Ragan
It’s
really hard to look at David Ragan and not feel bad for the guy. Going from
Roush Fenway to Front Row Motorsports is like going from Hawaii to North Korea.
26. Regan Smith
Sadly,
the fortunes of Smith have taken a turn for the worse in 2012. His average finish
is down 3 spots, and he’s only finished on the lead lap 1/6th of the
races (he accomplished that just over half the time last season). Someone needs
to pump some R&D dollars into Furniture Row Racing.
Modern Day 1990’s Version of Darrell Waltrip
25. Bobby Labonte
Sometime
in the late-90s, a sportswriter asked Darrell Waltrip why he was still hanging
around, ruining his reputation and making everyone forget that he was once a
championship-winning driver. His reply? “Can’t quit, money’s too good.” I’m
guessing Bobby Labonte would have a similar answer to that question.
Keeping the Seat Warm for Somebody
24. Aric Almirola
Joey
Logano. Ryan Newman. Kurt Busch. All three of those drivers are significantly
more talented than Almirola, and all three could be available to drive the
flagship car for Dodge next season. Almirola better be ready for a start and
park gig next year.
Used to be Relevant (Emphasis on “Used”)
23. Jamie McMurray
Two
years ago, McMurray won both the Daytona 500 and the Brickyard 400. This
season, his best finish is seventh, and he only has two other finishes inside
the top-10. The equipment at Earnhardt-Ganassi isn’t cutting the mustard.
22. Jeff Burton
No
Credentials predicts that Jeff Burton will officially enter the D.W. 1990s
version point of his career in 2013. He’s washed up, and it’s time for Richard
Childress to find a new driver for the 31.
21. Juan Pablo Montoya
I could wax
poetic about the struggles of Montoya, but instead let’s post the video of the
jet dryer he crashed into exploding.
2004-05 Jeremy Mayfield Impersonator, Minus the Crystal
Meth Addiction
20. Paul Menard
Jeremy
Mayfield’s most noteworthy career accomplishment will be making the first two
Chase’s by hammering out mediocre top-15 finishes week after week. Menard has
been following a similar plan, but unfortunately the field is much deeper now.
Drives His Ass Off
19. Kurt Busch
Kurt
Busch has done quite a few noteworthy things in his year of purgatory. He gave
his brother Kyle his first Nationwide win as an owner. Busch brought James
Finch Racing to victory lane at Daytona in July (which even though it was
Nationwide, was still a major David vs. Goliath moment in the world of auto
racing). Most impressively, he wheeled a car with a broken suspension to a
third place finish at Sonoma (which in case you forget, is one of two tracks
that features right turns). Unfortunately, the following run-in with a reporter
will severely hinder Busch’s chances of landing a top-flight ride in 2013.
Frisky at Certain Locations
18. Marcos Ambrose
Ambrose
has shown tremendous progress on ovals this season, but the egg he laid at
Sonoma will prevent him sneaking in to The Chase.
17. Ryan Newman
Newman
is only nine points out of the second wild card heading into the Brickyard 400,
but his unsettled future makes No Credentials feel like he has no chance of
making it. Newman has no contract for next season with Stewart-Haas.
16. Joey Logano
Logano
appears to have done enough to keep a seat at Joe Gibbs Racing (the only reason
Matt Kenseth’s deal with Gibbs hasn’t been announced is because they are still
finalizing Logano’s sponsorship package), and the next two races will be his
best chance at sneaking into a wildcard spot. He dominated the first Sprint Cup
race at Pocono (which the series will return to the first Sunday in August),
and success there usually translates to a good run at Indianapolis. If he
sweeps both races, he’ll be in The Chase.
3-Headed Monster
15. Mark Martin/Brian Vickers/Michael Waltrip
If
you added up all of the points the drivers of the #55 have earned, they would
currently be twelfth in points. We haven’t seen anything like this in Sprint
Cup in years.
Flop of the Year
14. Carl Edwards
I
had a feeling this season would play out like this for Cousin Carl,
but didn’t have enough intestinal fortitude to rank him this low before the
season. Edwards has only led one lap at a track other than Richmond this
season. Maybe next year he can get Matt Kenseth’s personal to give him a boost.
Worse Luck Than the 1980 Soviet Union Hockey Team
13. Jeff Gordon
Ending
up on his roof in the Budweiser Shootout was only the beginning of a maddening
season for Gordon. Unlike Carl Edwards, Gordon has led his fair share of laps,
and has been in contention to win on multiple occasions. Crashes, equipment
failure, and bad breaks have bit the former Boy Wonder like never before. Folks
still believe in him, but his days of ripping off multiple wins in a short time
span are about eight years behind him. The Brickyard 400 is a must win for him.
Will Probably Make the Chase, but Won’t be Factors
12. Martin Truex Jr.
Truex
looked like a sure bet to reach victory lane just over a month ago, but has
tailed off since. Of the drivers currently in the top 10, he would appear to be
the most likely to drop out.
11. Kevin Harvick
Richard
Childress Racing just hasn’t had the speed this season (see the performance of
Jeff Burton and Paul Menard for proof). Harvick has done a brilliant job of
getting the Budweiser Chevrolet safely into the top 10 in points, but that
won’t be enough to bring home a championship. Fortunately, Harvick still has
his way with words.
Will Make the Chase, and Then Choke Like He Does Every
Year
10. Kyle Busch
For
all of Kyle Busch’s success, do you realize he has only won once during the
NASCAR playoffs? He desperately needs a win to secure a spot in this year’s
Chase.
Legitimate Championship Contenders
9. Clint Bowyer
The
lead dog for emerging MWR, who would of thought that Bowyer would actually be
increasing his title chances by leaving Richard Childress? Bowyer is the best
dark horse bet to win the championship.
8. Greg Biffle
Biffle
has had a fantastic bounce back season after a frustrating 2011. His struggles
at three of the Chase venues (Loudon, Martinsville, and Phoenix) are why he’s
ranked so low.
7. Matt Kenseth
Kenseth
is still leading the points, but No Credentials has a hard time believing that
his lame duck status with Roush won’t begin to have an impact on the success of
the 17 car.
6. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Junior’s
resurgence this season has been huge for the sport, but similar to Kyle Busch,
Junior has never had a great deal of success come playoff time. He won two
races in the inaugural Chase back in 2004, but hasn’t reached victory lane
since.
5. Denny Hamlin
No Credentials pre-season pick to win hasn’t been too bad this season, but Gibbs
just seems to be a hair off on the mile and a half ovals this season.
4. Brad Keselowski
If
the Chase started right now, Keselowski would be tied for first with Tony
Stewart thanks to his series high three wins. He’ll be a monster next season
when Penske makes the switch from Dodge to Ford.
3. Tony Stewart
Stewart
has been all or nothing this season, seemingly finishing in either the top-3 or
in the twenties every week. His epic 2011 title run would suggest that perhaps
Stewart has been experimenting a bit this season in an effort to secure more
bonus points for the Chase. I wouldn’t be surprised if Stewart began ripping
off top-5s week after week in the fall.
2. Kasey Kahne
His
luck in the beginning of the season was abysmal, but Kahne has roared to life
since May. Kahne has the speed this year. It’s just a matter of him keeping the
car in one piece. No Credentials feels safe suggesting that Kahne will win one
of the next five championships.
The Favorite
1. Jimmie Johnson
Johnson
didn’t get off to a sterling start this year either (thank Elliott Sadler and
his crooked crew chief, the Evil Dr. Chad Knaus for that), but quietly Johnson
has been the most consistent driver since the clocks sprung ahead. The only
chink in his armor would appear to be his shoddy pit crew, but we know that
Rick Hendrick is willing to swap crews in the name of winning when it matters
most (remember Hendrick made the call to switch Jeff Gordon’s pit crew with
Johnson’s back in the final race of the 2010 season). It’s Johnson’s championship
to lose.
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