Week 11 NFL Picks

            I’m considering sitting out this week from real wagers for fear that God will punish me for picking against His QB. Even more discouraging, the Colts aren’t playing.

DOLPHINS (-1.5) over Bills

            It took longer than expected, but the league has figured out the 2011 Buffalo Bills.

Miami 20, Buffalo 16

Confidence Score = 12

RAVENS (-7) over Bengals

            I want to pick the Bengals, but losing cornerback Leon Hall is a devastating blow to their defense.

Baltimore 21, Cincinnati 10

Confidence Score = 4

Jaguars (+1) over BROWNS

            THE UNWATCHABLE GAME OF THE WEEK, SPONSORED BY NBC’S “The Playboy Club”

Jacksonville 10, Cleveland 7

Confidence Score = 11

VIKINGS (+1) over Raiders

            Oakland = overvalued after their win against the bumbling Chargers. Vikings = undervalued after getting shellacked by the Packers on national television. I’ve got a strange amount of confidence in this pick, which probably means you should all bet your life savings on the Raiders.

Minnesota 24, Oakland 20

Confidence Score = 14

Panthers (+7) over LIONS

            I can honestly say that I don’t know what to do with either of these teams. With that said, we’ll play it safe and take the points.

Detroit 27, Carolina 24

Confidence Score = 3

PACKERS (-14) over Buccaneers

            Here’s the team to anchor your two or three-team teaser this week.

Green Bay 38, Tampa Bay 21

Confidence Score = 9

Cowboys (-7) over REDSKINS

            Romo is healthy. DeMarco Murray is a machine. Washington can’t figure out which crappy quarterback they want to play. If a less accident-prone player quarterbacked the Cowboys, this would be my top pick of the week.

Cowboys 23, Washington 10

Confidence Score = 13

49ERS (-9.5) over Cardinals

            A Patrick Peterson punt return is the only threat to the 49ers covering this week.

San Francisco 24, Arizona 3

Confidence Score = 16

Seahawks (+3) over RAMS

            I’m digging the “Beast Mode” eye black being worn by Seahawks runningback Marshawn Lynch.

Seattle 16, St. Louis 10

Confidence Score = 5

Titans (+6) over FALCONS

            Chris Johnson coming back from the dead combined with Atlanta trying to rebound from gift wrapping a win for New Orleans makes this my upset special of the week.

Tennessee 28, Atlanta 27

Confidence Score = 10

BEARS (-3.5) over Chargers

            I’ve been picking against the Bears all year, and they’ve been consistently winning. I’ve been picking San Diego all year, and they’ve been consistently losing. Worlds are colliding at Soldier Field.

Chicago 17, San Diego 10

Confidence Score = 15

Eagles (+5) over GIANTS
            I think Philadelphia’s defense will keep this one close. That and I need to lose an Eagles pick one more time before giving up on them for good.

New York 20, Philadelphia 17

Confidence Score = 6

PATRIOTS (-15) over Chiefs

            Here’s the other team to anchor a two or three-team teaser.

New England 37, Kansas City 17

Confidence Score = 7

Thursday Pick = 0-1 (don’t bet against God and his quarterback)

Last Week = 7-9
LW Top-5 = 3-2
Season = 75-64-7
S Top-5 = 25-23-2