Showing posts with label Mookie Betts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mookie Betts. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

2016 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft - Round 2


            If you missed round 1, click here. 

2-13 = Miguel Cabrera – First Baseman – Detroit Tigers – Age 32
            Cabrera has been such a valuable fantasy commodity for over a decade it seems disrespectful to have him come off the board in the second round, but after posting a career low in Isolated Power in 2015, it’s no longer wise to build a fantasy roster around him. It shouldn’t surprise anyone to see him begin the “Albert Pujols on the Angels” phase of his career.

2-14 = A.J. Pollock – Outfield – Arizona Diamondbacks – Age 28
            Pollock quietly had a massive breakout 2015 campaign, obliterating career highs in every meaningful offensive statistic while also earning his first Gold Glove award. He isn’t a first round pick because folks would like to seem him come close to repeating his 2015 performance. It isn’t wise to bank on him racking up 20 homers again, but if that means he pushes his stolen base total over 40 you won’t complain. We’re all in on Pollock.

2-15 = Andrew McCutchen – Outfield – Pittsburgh Pirates – Age 29
            We’ve seen McCutchen ranked as high as fifth on some fantasy sites, but his declining counting stats are why we won’t own McCutchen on any fantasy teams this year. He’s only cracked 30+ dingers once, and his stolen base total plummeted all the way down to 11 in 2015. No Credentials isn’t spending a first round pick on an outfielder who will not crack 40 combined home runs and steals, and neither should you.

2-16 = Mookie Betts – Outfield – Boston Red Sox – Age 23
            Mookie’s strong finish last year gives everyone reason to be excited about his prospects in 2016. It’s reasonable to expect him to eclipse 30 stolen bases, and barring injury he will contend for the league lead in runs scored.

2-17 = Jose Bautista – Outfield – Toronto Blue Jays – Age 35
            Sure he’s old, but 40 homer potential with oodles of RBIs make Bautista worth the investment. You could bump him up a few notches in leagues that count on-base percentage instead of batting average.

2-18 = Jose Abreu – First Baseman – Chicago White Sox – Age 29
            Abreu regressed in most statistics during his second year in the majors, but some of that had to do with the putrid lineup around him. Todd Frazier’s presence (whether he hits before or after Abreu) should help.

2-19 = Dee Gordon – Second Baseman – Miami Marlins – Age 27
            Gordon had a banner first season in south Florida, winning an unlikely batting crown, leading the league in steals, and snagging a Gold Glove. A DL stint was the only thing preventing Gordon from leading the National League in runs scored. Even if his batting average regresses to around .300, his elite stolen base totals are enough to warrant him ranking this high in the mock. Drafting Gordon gives you the peace of mind to target power bats and starting pitchers in the late rounds instead of spending picks on cheap speedsters.

2-20 = Max Scherzer – Starting Pitcher – Washington Nationals – Age 31
            Scherzer delivered a number of dominating performances in 2015, but an inconsistent Nationals squad depressed his win totals. With a little more luck in the health department with the Washington roster, Scherzer will be in line to rank as the most valuable starting pitcher in all of fantasy when 2016 is over.

2-21 = Charlie Blackmon – Outfield – Colorado Rockies – Age 29
            Here’s a case where playing in the wacky confines of Coors Field heavily inflates a dude’s value. Blackmon wouldn’t go this high if you were looking to build a real baseball team, but in the world of fantasy 15 homers and 40 steals go a long way. The greatest risk owning Blackmon (and for that matter, any Rockie not named Nolan Arenado) is the risk of getting traded away if the team stinks.

2-22 = Edwin Encarnacion – First Baseman – Toronto Blue Jays – Age 33
            Here’s another masher from the Blue Jays flying off the board. Encarnacion posted the highest WAR of his career last season, and you could make a case for him to go as high as 15 in a draft.

2-23 = Chris Sale – Starting Pitcher – Chicago White Sox – Age 26
            There are a number of pitchers that will be picked after Sale that posted better ERAs a year ago, but Sale’s dominant strike out totals warrant him being ranked so high. Also, don't underestimate the value of having at least a league average defense behind you (that's something Sale couldn't claim last year). He’s the greatest threat to unseat Clayton Kershaw as the league leader in Ks.

2-24 = Starling Marte – Outfield – Pittsburgh Pirates – Age 27
            If only Marte could learn how to take a walk and not strike out a ton. His plate discipline is what keeps Marte from posting elite run scoring and stolen base totals.

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Second Base

            For the first time since we’ve been posting fantasy baseball draft content, I’m ready to declare second base as a relatively deep position. It’s not necessarily a great talent boom that put us in this place, but in the post-steroids era, the tenth best fantasy second basemen won’t be that far off in terms of value from the first. Position scarcity fanatics would often have their middle infields filled early in drafts, but even with that mindset it makes sense to wait on second base. 2B is arguably the least stressful fantasy spot to fill this season.

Tier-1 = The Name Brands 

R.Cano, SEA
A.Rendon, WAS
J.Altuve, HOU

            Cano begrudgingly maintains the top spot on this list, even though Altuve was the top ranked fantasy second baseman a year ago and Rendon is the best five category producer. Seattle’s off-season additions give logical reasons to believe Cano will put up better counting stats during his second year in a Mariners uniform. Altuve is a likely regression candidate, but even if his batting average drops 50 points there is higher run potential leading off for an improved Astros club. All three of these guys are great picks in the second round.

Tier-2 = Store Brands? 

D.Gordon, MIA
I.Kinsler, DET

            We almost put these players in their own tiers, but ultimately they are both undervalued commodities. The fantasy community appears to be taking Gordon’s speed for granted (ESPN has him ranked as the ninth best second baseman), but the bottom line is he can single-handedly carry you in stolen bases. Kinsler is no longer a 20-20 machine, but 30 combined homers and steals still have value.

Tier-3 = MOOKIE! and Some Other People

J.Kipnis, CLE
M.Betts, BOS OF
B.Dozier, MIN
K.Wong, STL
D.Pedroia, BOS

            This group carries the highest risk-reward factor of any of the tiers at second base for a variety of reasons. Jason Kipnis hasn’t been reliable since the first half of the 2013 season, but a return to health could mean he delivers top-20 value again. Mookie Betts isn’t eligible at second in most leagues, and isn’t likely to get any starts there this season, so plan accordingly if you’re in a keeper league. Brian Dozier is the most likely person in this group to hit below the Mendoza Line, and aside from going bonkers in last year’s postseason Wong hasn’t shown enough consistency. Dustin Pedroia is the biggest stay away for me in this tier. He doesn’t rack up steals or homers anymore, and is value is completely tied to whether or not he can maintain a spot in the top third of the Red Sox lineup. He’s essentially taken on the role Derek Jeter did in fantasy for the better part of the last decade.

Tier-4 = Not Horrendous Options

N.Walker, PIT
B.Zobrist, OAK
J.Harrison, PIT 3B-OF
D.Murphy, NYM
H.Kendrick, LAD

            Josh Harrison stands out as a guy you want to have on your bench with his multi-position flexibility. Howie Kendrick could be a better version of Dustin Pedroia if he gets to hit first or second for the Dodgers.

Tier-5 = Upside Baby! 

J.Baez, CHC SS
B.Lawrie, OAK

            You shouldn’t rely on either Baez or Lawrie to be your starting second baseman, but don’t like them be un-owned at the end of your draft or auction. Baez posted a historically inept 42% strikeout rate after getting the call to the big leagues, but there is no middle infielder with as much power as him. If he can bat .250 over a full season, he will eclipse 35 homers. Lawrie has been a bust for years, and looks like the kind of player that magically turns into an All-Star after Billy Beane signs him.

Tier-6 = Bench/Waiver Wire Guys

C.Utley, PHI
A.Cabrera, TB
J.Gyorko, SD
M.Prado, MIA 3B-OF
B.Phillips, CIN
A.Alcantara, CHC
A.Hill, ARI

            Gyorko has the most upside here (he’s a homeless man’s Baez in terms of power potential), while Prado’s versatility is as valuable in fantasy as it is in real life.