Week 17 NFL Picks

EAGLES (-8.5) over Redskins
            I initially had Washington penciled in here, but I made a ton of money on the Eagles last week (I would feel guilty betting against Dallas on Christmas Eve, but knew that the game didn’t matter to them. Also, I would feel guilty about phoning in a bet to my Dad while I was at my in-laws house on Christmas Eve, but…I actually don’t have a legitimate reason not to feel guilty about that). I realize last week has nothing to do with this week, but that is why this blog is called No Credentials.

Philadelphia 35, Washington 21

Confidence Score = 2        

49ers (-10.5) over RAMS

            San Francisco needs a win to secure the second seed in the NFC (and a first round bye). St. Louis needs to lose to have a shot at the first overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. I might talk myself into betting my car on this game.

San Francisco 31, St. Louis 0

Confidence Score = 16

VIKINGS (-1.5) over Bears

            Two words…Joe fucking Webb.

Minnesota 21, Chicago 13

Confidence Score = 12

Lions (-3) over PACKERS
            Detroit needs to win to secure a date with the pathetic NFC East winner. Green Bay has absolutely no reason to risk anyone’s health in this game.

Detroit 27, Green Bay 14

Confidence Score = 13

Panthers (+8) over SAINTS

            New Orleans will try in this game until mid-way through the second quarter when San Francisco is up by 17 over the Rams.

Carolina 31, New Orleans 17

Confidence Score = 11

Titans (-2.5) over TEXANS

            Houston can’t improve it’s seed, and is better served resting players before the franchise’s first playoff game in team history next week. Tennessee still has a chance at a wild card, so expect them to take care of business.

Tennessee 24, Houston 10

Confidence Score = 15

JAGUARS (-3.5) over Colts

            I’m on board with the Colts actually trying to win the game for Peyton Manning, but have a hard time believing Dan Orlovsky can win three straight games.

Jacksonville 20, Indianapolis 16

Confidence Score = 7

DOLPHINS (-3) over Jets

            The Jets just look like the kind of team that needs to finish 8-8.

Miami 24, New York 17

Confidence Score = 10

PATRIOTS (-10) over Bills

            New England needs a win to lock up home field in the AFC.

New England 34, Buffalo 17

Confidence Score = 14

Buccaneers (+11.5) over FALCONS

            Tampa is going to look like a real NFL team playing against whomever the Falcons back-up quarterback is (is Steve DeBerg still on their roster?).

Tampa Bay 17, Atlanta 14

Confidence Score = 9

Ravens (-2) over BENGALS

            Who could’ve predicted that Cincinnati would actually be playing for something in Week 17? Unfortunately for them, Baltimore is playing for a first round bye.

Baltimore 28, Cincinnati 24

Confidence Score = 4

Steelers (-6.5) over BROWNS

            It doesn’t matter to me if Roethlisberger plays or not in this one.

Pittsburgh 20, Cleveland 3

Confidence Score = 1

RAIDERS (-3) over Chargers

            It makes sense for San Diego to pack it in so they can secure a higher draft pick. For that reason alone I’ll ride with the Raiders.

Oakland 21, San Diego 14

Confidence Score = 6

BRONCOS (-3) over Chiefs

            God’s going to figure this one out for Tebow. Don’t be surprised if Kyle Orton breaks a bone or two or twelve in this game.

Denver 13, Kansas City 9

Confidence Score = 8

Seahawks (+3) over CARDINALS

            Sometimes, you just have to take the points.

Seattle 24, Arizona 23

Confidence Score = 5

GIANTS (-3) over Cowboys

            Part of me hopes that this sorry Dallas team gets put out of its misery.

New York 38, Dallas 31

Confidence Score = 3